Patriots vs Bears Predictions, Picks, Odds & Betting Guide
It's hard to believe, but we're already at Week 7 of the 2026 NFL season, and we've got a huge matchup to kick things off with a Thursday Night Football game between the New England Patriots and Chicago Bears. After a rough start, the Pats have won three straight and have a 4-2 record. The Bears have the same, and looked in a groove in last week's win over the Falcons.
Patriots vs Bears kicks off at 8:15 PM ET live on Amazon Prime Video, and we've got all the betting angles covered for you. You can lock in our expert NFL picks on the side and total from pro NFL bettor Chris Farley, who is up +16.3 units this season and currently on a 7-1 run with his 5-star best bets! Meanwhile, Bobby Stanley has his best Patriots vs Bears player prop bets, including a play at +190 odds, while JutPicks has his Patriots vs Bears anytime touchdown scorer predictions and is looking to build on recent winners at +400, +330, +280 and +250 odds! You can also get Ricky Dimon's Patriots vs Bears Same Game Parlay at +600 odds! Let’s dive in.
Patriots vs Bears Latest Odds
Odds courtesy of bet365 and available at 9:00 AM ET on Thursday, October 22. Find out the latest NFL odds for every Week 7 matchup.
Money Line: Patriots (+138) vs Bears (-163)
Point Spread: Patriots +2.5 (+109) vs Bears -2.5 (-129)
Game Totals: Over 50.5 (-115), Under 50.5 (-105)
Patriots vs Bears Predictions & Picks
Chris Farley’s Patriots vs Bears Spread Pick: Patriots +3 (-110)
The Patriots are clicking into gear after a slow start, and they should do enough to keep this close or even beat the Bears. New England's defense has stepped up in recent weeks, and even with the Bears offense humming behind Caleb Williams, the Pats should do enough to keep Chicago in check.
Chris Farley’s Patriots vs Bears Total Prediction: Under 50.5 (-102)
New England's defense has been hot to start the season, so should be able to keep Caleb Williams quiet enough to hold the Bears in check. Meanwhile, the Pats have a ton of injuries on the offensive line, which could unsettle Maye. With all that in mind, this number looks a little too high.
Get the full analysis for pro NFL bettor Chris Farley's Patriots vs Bears predictions for TNF - he's up +16.3 units this season and on a 7-1 run with his 5-star best bets!
Patriots vs Bears Player Prop Bets
Best Patriots vs Bears Player Prop Bet: Caleb Williams (CHI) Over 1.5 Passing Touchdowns (-149)
I'm taking the juice here on what I think should be a potential upset from the Patriots and the Bears playing from behind at some point. The Patriots' pass defense is top five in the league in DVOA, but I question the talent level of the passing offenses they’ve faced through six weeks, with the Drew Lock Seahawks, Raiders and Jets being big drivers of those stats. Williams had 2+ passing TDs in nine of 17 games last season and in five of eight at home.
Read Bobby Stanley's best Patriots vs Bears player prop bets for TNF, featuring another pick at +190 odds!
Patriots vs Bears TD Scorer Best Bet: Rome Odunze (CHI) Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+200)
Rome Odunze's number is coming - Caleb Williams just has to be the one to dial it up. He's one of Williams' favorite targets, and his favorite target deep down the field. His 444 air yards lead the team, along with a 13 aDOT. Since Week 2, he's played over 80% of offensive snaps, including 99% and 96% the last two weeks. With those numbers in a game with a total of 50.5, getting +200 to find the end zone looks great value.
Find out Justin Martin's other Patriots vs Bears TD scorer best bet for TNF at +135 odds! Can he add to primetime winners at +400, +330, +300, +290, +280 and +220 this season?
New England Patriots vs Chicago Bears Same Game Parlay
Patriots ML over Bears (+130)
Drake Maye and the Patriots have heated up in a big way. Maye threw all over the Bills, Raiders and Jets in the past three weeks, racking up 878 yards and 10 touchdowns while getting intercepted just once. That has also opened things up for the running game, to which the former North Carolina standout also contributes (138 rushing yards so far in 2026). Thursday night’s road assignment certainly isn’t an easy one, but it’s one the Pats can win and maintain momentum. Their offense is now holding up its end of the bargain and their defense continues to cook. All things considered, the value in this one is on the underdogs.
Rhamondre Stevenson (NE) to Record 50+ Rushing Yards (+133)
Stevenson has a favorable matchup on his hands against a Chicago defense that is surrendering 4.5 yards per carry. The Oklahoma product has reached the 50-yard mark twice this season, including a 64-yard effort in Week 5 against Las Vegas. Stevenson has gotten at least 13 carries in three consecutive contests after rushing 18 times in the season opener. He should get the workload to go over this number tonight.
Rome Odunze (CHI) Over 44.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
Odunze has been kept under the 40-yard mark just once this year; he has not finished a single game with fewer than 39 yards. Asking for at least 45 should not be too much against the Patriots, who are better against the run (91.8 yards per game on 3.9 yards per carry) than they are against the pass. I have relatively high expectations for both Odunze and Luther Burden on Thursday, but the value is on Odunze given that LB3’s quota is 13 yards higher at 57.5.
Patriots vs Bears SGP odds: +600
After recent SGP winners at +750, +700 and +650, don't miss Ricky Dimon's full analysis for his Patriots vs Bears Same Game Parlay for TNF
NFL Week 7 Picks
Check out our expert NFL predictions for the Week 7 matchups below:
- Patriots vs Bears TNF predictions
- Buccaneers vs Panthers predictions
- Giants vs Texans predictions
- Browns vs Titans predictions
- Colts vs Vikings predictions
- 49ers vs Falcons predictions
- Dolphins vs Jets predictions
- Broncos vs Cardinals predictions
- Rams vs Raiders predictions
- Chiefs vs Seahawks SNF predictions
- Cowboys vs Eagles MNF predictions
